Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 12:00 • Mbaraki Sports Club
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 0.99) 0.46 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 42.1% 21.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bandari 0 31.1% 14.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.8% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBandariMathare United
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack20%20%
Defense70%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bandari Mathare United
HATHAT
Played58136814
Wins40%0%15%33%38%36%
Draws40%75%62%0%38%21%
Loses20%25%23%67%25%43%

Form: Bandari: DLWDDLDWDDLDD • Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWLDW

League goals

Metric Bandari Mathare United
HATHAT
GF total729549
GF avg1.40.30.70.80.50.6
GA total4597411
GA avg0.80.60.71.20.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBandariMathare United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%54%57%50%
1.515%8%7%29%
2.58%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBandariMathare United
HATHAT
Clean sheets156257
Failed to score167246

Penalties

MetricBandariMathare United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBandariMathare United
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-22-0
Goals For3121
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricBandariMathare United
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bandari or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Superbet
No1.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bandari = 0.71 (league 0.99), Mathare United = 0.46 (league 0.87)

Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bandari 0 31.1% 14.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.8% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1