Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 10:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 0.99) 0.55 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 42.8% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.4%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mara Sugar 0 31.4% 17.3% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack27%27%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mara Sugar Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Played85137613
Wins25%40%31%29%17%23%
Draws38%60%46%29%67%46%
Loses38%0%23%43%17%31%

Form: Mara Sugar: DLWDDDWDLLWWD • Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDDW

League goals

Metric Mara Sugar Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
GF total46105712
GF avg0.51.20.80.71.20.9
GA total3476713
GA avg0.40.80.50.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%46%69%69%
1.531%8%23%23%
2.50%0%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Clean sheets527224
Failed to score617314

Penalties

MetricMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
Wins21
Draws35
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-23-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h25%75%
Goals17%83%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Murang'a SEAL and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 10Bet
Draw2.62 @ Betano
Away3.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Superbet
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mara Sugar = 0.61 (league 0.99), Murang'a SEAL = 0.55 (league 0.87)

Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mara Sugar 0 31.4% 17.3% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 42.8% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1