Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 0.98) 2.97 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 8.3% 81.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 3
16.2%
0 - 4
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 3.7% 11.0% 16.3% 16.2% 12.0% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
2 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedGOR Mahia
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United GOR Mahia
HATHAT
Played55107512
Wins40%60%50%43%80%58%
Draws20%0%10%14%20%17%
Loses40%40%40%43%0%25%

Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDW • GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Nairobi United GOR Mahia
HATHAT
GF total84127815
GF avg1.60.81.21.01.61.3
GA total8311718
GA avg1.60.61.11.00.20.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedGOR Mahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%83%42%
1.530%30%33%8%
2.520%10%8%8%
3.510%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedGOR Mahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets033347
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedGOR Mahia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedGOR Mahia
Wins24
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-4—
Goals For4232
Goals Against3241

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedGOR Mahia
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away1.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 0.33 (league 0.98), GOR Mahia = 2.97 (league 0.86)

GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 3.7% 11.0% 16.3% 16.2% 12.0% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
2 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 81.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1