Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 0.97) 1.47 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 26.6% 54.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ulinzi Stars 0 11.2% 16.4% 12.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUlinzi StarsNairobi United
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack67%56%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ulinzi Stars Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played78156612
Wins14%38%27%33%67%50%
Draws29%25%27%17%0%8%
Loses57%38%47%50%33%42%

Form: Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLW • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Ulinzi Stars Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total78158715
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.21.3
GA total881610414
GA avg1.11.01.11.70.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUlinzi StarsNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%58%75%
1.513%33%33%33%
2.513%7%25%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUlinzi StarsNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets235033
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricUlinzi StarsNairobi United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricUlinzi StarsNairobi United
Wins22
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-21-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-32-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricUlinzi StarsNairobi United
Form36%64%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nairobi United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Dafabet
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ Marathonbet
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ulinzi Stars = 0.72 (league 0.97), Nairobi United = 1.47 (league 0.90)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ulinzi Stars 0 11.2% 16.4% 12.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 54.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1