Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 13:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 0.98)
1.12 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 31.9% | 47.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 17.1% | 19.2% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 93% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 29% | 63% | 47% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 29% | 13% | 20% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Loses | 43% | 25% | 33% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWLW • AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDDWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tusker | AFC Leopards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 53% | 64% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 20% | 36% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tusker | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Tusker or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.64 (league 0.98), AFC Leopards = 1.12 (league 0.89)
| AFC Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 17.1% | 19.2% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 47.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1