Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.01) 3.09 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.0% 7.6% 81.2%
best score tips
0 - 3
16.1%
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 4
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabana 0 3.3% 10.2% 15.7% 16.1% 12.4% 7.7%
1 1.1% 3.3% 5.1% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShabanaGOR Mahia
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack78%78%
Defense33%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shabana GOR Mahia
HATHAT
Played78157613
Wins29%50%40%43%83%62%
Draws14%50%33%14%17%15%
Loses57%0%27%43%0%23%

Form: Shabana: WWDLLLDWDWWDDWL • GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLDWW

League goals

Metric Shabana GOR Mahia
HATHAT
GF total8101871219
GF avg1.11.31.21.02.01.5
GA total10515729
GA avg1.40.61.01.00.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShabanaGOR Mahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%85%46%
1.520%33%38%8%
2.513%7%15%8%
3.57%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShabanaGOR Mahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets246347
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricShabanaGOR Mahia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricShabanaGOR Mahia
Wins24
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-33-01-4
Biggest losses1-3—1-4—
Goals For4334
Goals Against3241

Model comparison

MetricShabanaGOR Mahia
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h9%91%
Goals20%80%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Winner : GOR Mahia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ 1xBet
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.29 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shabana = 0.33 (league 1.01), GOR Mahia = 3.09 (league 0.91)

GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabana 0 3.3% 10.2% 15.7% 16.1% 12.4% 7.7%
1 1.1% 3.3% 5.1% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.0% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 81.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1