Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 13:00 • Police Sacco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.01) 0.72 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.2% 45.3% 43.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.4%
0 - 1
27.6%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 38.4% 27.6% 9.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoliceNairobi United
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack21%50%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played87156814
Wins25%57%40%33%63%50%
Draws50%29%40%17%13%14%
Loses25%14%20%50%25%36%

Form: Police: DWDWLWWWLWDLDDD • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWWLDW

League goals

Metric Police Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total391281018
GF avg0.41.30.81.31.31.3
GA total461010515
GA avg0.50.90.71.70.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoliceNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%47%64%71%
1.520%20%36%29%
2.57%0%21%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoliceNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets538044
Failed to score527325

Penalties

MetricPoliceNairobi United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPoliceNairobi United
Wins32
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-34-21-3
Biggest losses0-21-00-32-0
Goals For1343
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricPoliceNairobi United
Form29%71%
Att30%70%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total37.6%62.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nairobi United and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Superbet
Draw2.75 @ Dafabet
Away3.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.10 @ Superbet
No1.36 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.00 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police = 0.24 (league 1.01), Nairobi United = 0.72 (league 0.90)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 38.4% 27.6% 9.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 45.3% · Away win 43.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1