Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.03)
1.12 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 24.4% | 25.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Leopards | 0 | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 75% | 33% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 56% | 50% | 11% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 43% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 14% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 33% | 47% |
AFC LeopardsDDDWWWLDDWDWWLWW
APS BometLLLWLDDLWDWDLLD
League goals
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 50% | 53% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 13% | 27% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 7% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 1-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Leopards | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.4% | 33.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.99 @ Dafabet
Draw2.95 @ Dafabet
Away4.88 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.90 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.45 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ William Hill
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League standings
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