Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 10:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.00)
1.32 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | 27.0% | 39.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Homeboyz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 56% | 47% | 40% | 43% | 41% |
| Draws | 17% | 22% | 20% | 50% | 14% | 35% |
| Loses | 50% | 22% | 33% | 10% | 43% | 24% |
Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWWLDWD • Homeboyz: DWLWWWDDLWDDLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairobi United | Homeboyz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 73% | 76% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 27% | 41% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 7% | 12% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairobi United | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.17 (league 1.00), Homeboyz = 1.32 (league 0.90)
| Homeboyz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 39.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1