Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.01) 1.10 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 33.0% 50.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.3%
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kariobangi Sharks 0 20.3% 22.3% 12.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKariobangi SharksUlinzi Stars
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack13%40%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kariobangi Sharks Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins13%10%11%11%33%22%
Draws38%50%44%33%22%28%
Loses50%40%44%56%44%50%

Form: Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLDLDDLLWDLDLD • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Kariobangi Sharks Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
GF total46109817
GF avg0.50.60.61.00.90.9
GA total9122111920
GA avg1.11.21.21.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKariobangi SharksUlinzi Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%61%72%72%
1.511%33%11%33%
2.50%11%11%6%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKariobangi SharksUlinzi Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets347235
Failed to score4610235

Penalties

MetricKariobangi SharksUlinzi Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKariobangi SharksUlinzi Stars
Wins12
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-21-23-1
Goals For1233
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricKariobangi SharksUlinzi Stars
Form43%57%
Att25%75%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ulinzi Stars and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Dafabet
Away2.65 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kariobangi Sharks = 0.50 (league 1.01), Ulinzi Stars = 1.10 (league 0.90)

Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kariobangi Sharks 0 20.3% 22.3% 12.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 50.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1