Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 12:00 •
Kasarani Annex Stadium
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 0.99)
1.10 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 32.9% | 50.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.0%
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 20.0% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 30% | 60% |
| Defense | 30% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 33% | 24% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 38% | 22% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 38% | 44% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
Form: Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLDLDDLLWDLD • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 63% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 31% | 12% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 12% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ulinzi Stars and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kariobangi Sharks = 0.51 (league 0.99), Ulinzi Stars = 1.10 (league 0.90)
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 20.0% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 50.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1