Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 11:00 •
Bukhungu Stadium
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.03)
1.20 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 23.0% | 25.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mara Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Homeboyz | 0 | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 55% | 27% |
| Defense | 55% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 40% | 43% | 41% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 35% | 30% | 63% | 44% |
| Loses | 10% | 43% | 24% | 50% | 13% | 33% |
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Mara SugarDLWDDDWDLLWWDLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 71% | 50% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 29% | 22% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Homeboyz | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.89 @ Dafabet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away4.87 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.52 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…
