Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 12:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.01) 0.93 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 32.0% 33.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
14.5%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Leopards 0 15.2% 14.1% 6.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC LeopardsNairobi United
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%44%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Leopards Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played101323101121
Wins60%46%52%30%55%43%
Draws30%31%30%30%27%29%
Loses10%23%17%40%18%29%

Form: AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDDWDWWLWWWWDWLWL • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLWDDW

League goals

Metric AFC Leopards Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total161531141327
GF avg1.61.21.31.41.21.3
GA total7111814721
GA avg0.70.80.81.40.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC LeopardsNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%57%76%71%
1.543%13%29%24%
2.59%4%19%5%
3.59%4%5%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC LeopardsNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets3710156
Failed to score347325

Penalties

MetricAFC LeopardsNairobi United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAFC LeopardsNairobi United
Wins42
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-14-10-32-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricAFC LeopardsNairobi United
Form47%53%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.04 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Leopards = 0.95 (league 1.01), Nairobi United = 0.93 (league 0.90)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Leopards 0 15.2% 14.1% 6.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 33.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1