Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 12:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.00) 1.90 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 22.3% 47.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
KCB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.2% 9.8% 9.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedKCB
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack47%29%
Defense76%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United KCB
HATHAT
Played91019111122
Wins33%50%42%27%55%41%
Draws22%30%26%27%18%23%
Loses44%20%32%45%27%36%

Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLWD • KCB: WLWLLLDDWDWWWLDLWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Nairobi United KCB
HATHAT
GF total13122591322
GF avg1.41.21.30.81.21.0
GA total13720121123
GA avg1.40.71.11.11.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedKCB
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%73%64%
1.532%26%18%32%
2.521%5%5%9%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedKCB
HATHAT
Clean sheets145448
Failed to score325516

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedKCB
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedKCB
Wins23
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedKCB
Form53%47%
Att62%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ 10Bet
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.40 (league 1.00), KCB = 1.90 (league 0.89)

KCB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.2% 9.8% 9.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 47.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1