Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:15 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.00) 1.19 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 29.9% 44.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Leopards 0 13.2% 15.7% 9.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC LeopardsShabana
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack45%73%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Leopards Shabana
HATHAT
Played91221111122
Wins56%50%52%45%55%50%
Draws33%33%33%18%45%32%
Loses11%17%14%36%0%18%

Form: AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDDWDWWLWWWWDWL • Shabana: WWDLLLDWDWWDDWLDWDWWWW

League goals

Metric AFC Leopards Shabana
HATHAT
GF total111425111627
GF avg1.21.21.21.01.51.2
GA total671310818
GA avg0.70.60.60.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC LeopardsShabana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%52%82%45%
1.543%10%23%27%
2.55%0%14%9%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC LeopardsShabana
HATHAT
Clean sheets37106612
Failed to score347314

Penalties

MetricAFC LeopardsShabana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAFC LeopardsShabana
Wins42
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-21-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-3—
Goals For2443
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricAFC LeopardsShabana
Form43%57%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shabana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away4.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Leopards = 0.84 (league 1.00), Shabana = 1.19 (league 0.88)

Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Leopards 0 13.2% 15.7% 9.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 44.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1