Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 10:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.01) 1.70 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.7% 22.9% 64.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 10.4% 17.8% 15.1% 8.6% 3.7% 1.2%
1 5.8% 9.9% 8.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
2 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSofapakaPolice
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack20%30%
Defense0%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sofapaka Police
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins9%20%14%18%50%33%
Draws36%10%24%64%30%48%
Loses55%70%62%18%20%19%

Form: Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWLLDLLLDDLLLLL • Police: DWDWLWWWLWDLDDDDWLDDD

League goals

Metric Sofapaka Police
HATHAT
GF total861451116
GF avg0.70.60.70.51.10.8
GA total1513286814
GA avg1.41.31.30.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSofapakaPolice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%81%57%52%
1.524%38%14%14%
2.55%14%5%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSofapakaPolice
HATHAT
Clean sheets3146410
Failed to score6713639

Penalties

MetricSofapakaPolice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSofapakaPolice
Wins13
Draws24
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-31-02-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-21-0
Goals For2313
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricSofapakaPolice
Form0%100%
Att40%60%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total26.4%73.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Police and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 0.56 (league 1.01), Police = 1.70 (league 0.90)

Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 10.4% 17.8% 15.1% 8.6% 3.7% 1.2%
1 5.8% 9.9% 8.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
2 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 64.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1