Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 13:15 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.01) 1.99 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 20.5% 63.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 6.2% 12.3% 12.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.6%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMathare UnitedShabana
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack58%67%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mathare United Shabana
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%27%33%45%50%48%
Draws0%45%24%18%50%33%
Loses60%27%43%36%0%19%

Form: Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWLDWLLWDLWD • Shabana: WWDLLLDWDWWDDWLDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Mathare United Shabana
HATHAT
GF total10616111526
GF avg1.00.50.81.01.51.2
GA total1271910818
GA avg1.20.60.90.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMathare UnitedShabana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%81%48%
1.510%29%24%29%
2.55%0%14%10%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMathare UnitedShabana
HATHAT
Clean sheets3586511
Failed to score358314

Penalties

MetricMathare UnitedShabana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMathare UnitedShabana
Wins12
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-14-21-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-3—
Goals For3143
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricMathare UnitedShabana
Form38%62%
Att47%53%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total48.6%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shabana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Betfair
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.79 (league 1.01), Shabana = 1.99 (league 0.90)

Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 6.2% 12.3% 12.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.6%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 63.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1