Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 11:00 • Mbaraki Sports Club
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.00) 0.66 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 37.6% 27.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.8%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bandari 0 23.8% 15.8% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBandariNairobi United
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack33%67%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bandari Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played1011219918
Wins50%18%33%33%56%44%
Draws40%55%48%22%22%22%
Loses10%27%19%44%22%33%

Form: Bandari: DLWDDLDWDDLDDWWWDWLDW • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Bandari Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total11718131124
GF avg1.10.60.91.41.21.3
GA total591413619
GA avg0.50.80.71.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBandariNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%52%72%72%
1.524%10%33%28%
2.510%5%22%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBandariNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510145
Failed to score3710325

Penalties

MetricBandariNairobi United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBandariNairobi United
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-32-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricBandariNairobi United
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nairobi United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Bet365
Draw2.92 @ Marathonbet
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bandari = 0.77 (league 1.00), Nairobi United = 0.66 (league 0.90)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bandari 0 23.8% 15.8% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1