Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 11:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.01) 2.65 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.4% 15.1% 69.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 3
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 2.9% 7.6% 10.0% 8.9% 5.9% 3.1%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuskerMurang'a SEAL
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack42%92%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tusker Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins20%55%38%40%45%43%
Draws30%9%19%20%36%29%
Loses50%36%43%40%18%29%

Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWLWLLWDLL • Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDDWWWLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Tusker Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
GF total71118111930
GF avg0.71.00.91.11.71.4
GA total14923111425
GA avg1.40.81.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuskerMurang'a SEAL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%67%81%76%
1.514%29%52%29%
2.50%10%10%14%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuskerMurang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Clean sheets257235
Failed to score426314

Penalties

MetricTuskerMurang'a SEAL
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricTuskerMurang'a SEAL
Wins34
Draws25
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-43-12-33-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricTuskerMurang'a SEAL
Form25%75%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Winner : Murang'a SEAL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.90 (league 1.01), Murang'a SEAL = 2.65 (league 0.90)

Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 2.9% 7.6% 10.0% 8.9% 5.9% 3.1%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 69.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1