Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Ulinzi Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.03)
2.61 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 15.3% | 69.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 3
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Murang'a SEAL | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 3.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 42% | 92% |
| Defense | 33% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 20% | 55% | 38% | 40% | 45% | 43% |
| Draws | 30% | 9% | 19% | 20% | 36% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 36% | 43% | 40% | 18% | 29% |
TuskerLLDDWWDWLLWWWLWLLWDLL
Murang'a SEALLWLLLDWDDDDDWWWLWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 11 | 19 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 67% | 81% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 52% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tusker | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.18 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
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League standings
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