Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 11:00 • Kenyatta Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.00) 1.60 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 24.7% 59.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 2
13.5%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bidco United 0 10.6% 16.9% 13.5% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.0% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBidco UnitedMara Sugar
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack44%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bidco United Mara Sugar
HATHAT
Played10112111920
Wins10%18%14%27%22%25%
Draws30%36%33%27%67%45%
Loses60%45%52%45%11%30%

Form: Bidco United: WWLDWDLDDLLLDLLDLLDLL • Mara Sugar: DLWDDDWDLLWWDLDDLLDW

League goals

Metric Bidco United Mara Sugar
HATHAT
GF total571271118
GF avg0.50.60.60.61.20.9
GA total12132581220
GA avg1.21.21.20.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBidco UnitedMara Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%67%55%65%
1.510%29%30%20%
2.50%19%5%15%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBidco UnitedMara Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets437527
Failed to score6511729

Penalties

MetricBidco UnitedMara Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBidco UnitedMara Sugar
Wins22
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-43-01-33-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricBidco UnitedMara Sugar
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h29%71%
Goals0%100%
Total32.4%67.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mara Sugar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Bet365
Draw3.01 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Betfair
No1.52 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bidco United = 0.65 (league 1.00), Mara Sugar = 1.60 (league 0.90)

Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bidco United 0 10.6% 16.9% 13.5% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.0% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 59.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1