Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.03)
1.28 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5% | 26.9% | 37.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| KCB | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 93% | 36% |
| Defense | 71% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 70% | 65% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Draws | 10% | 30% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 30% | 0% | 15% | 50% | 20% | 35% |
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League goals
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 17 | 33 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | KCB | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 50% | 75% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 72% | 28% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away5.77 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.47 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
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League standings
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