Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 12:30 •
Ulinzi Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.00)
2.13 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 17.2% | 73.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 3
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 7.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 25% | 92% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 9% | 25% | 17% | 67% | 64% | 65% |
| Draws | 45% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
| Loses | 45% | 58% | 52% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDLLLDLDL • GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLDWDWDWWWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 78% | 87% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 30% | 52% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 4% | 26% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ulinzi Stars | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 21.8% | 78.2% |
Advice: Winner : GOR Mahia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ulinzi Stars = 0.50 (league 1.00), GOR Mahia = 2.13 (league 0.90)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 7.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 73.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1