Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 •
Police Sacco Stadium
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.00)
1.58 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 24.9% | 59.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Homeboyz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 10.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 36% | 86% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 58% | 43% | 46% | 44% | 45% |
| Draws | 27% | 8% | 17% | 46% | 22% | 36% |
| Loses | 45% | 33% | 39% | 8% | 33% | 18% |
Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWLWLLWDLLWW • Homeboyz: DWLWWWDDLWDDLDWLWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 10 | 34 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tusker | Homeboyz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 65% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 26% | 50% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 18% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tusker | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Homeboyz
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.63 (league 1.00), Homeboyz = 1.58 (league 0.90)
| Homeboyz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 10.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 59.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1