Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:30 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.01) 1.59 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 24.4% 62.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 11.9% 18.9% 15.1% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0%
1 6.4% 10.2% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMathare UnitedAFC Leopards
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack86%100%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mathare United AFC Leopards
HATHAT
Played111223101222
Wins36%25%30%60%50%55%
Draws0%42%22%30%33%32%
Loses64%33%48%10%17%14%

Form: Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWLDWLLWDLWDLL • AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDDWDWWLWWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Mathare United AFC Leopards
HATHAT
GF total10717161430
GF avg0.90.60.71.61.21.4
GA total139227714
GA avg1.20.81.00.70.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMathare UnitedAFC Leopards
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%65%68%55%
1.59%30%45%9%
2.54%0%9%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMathare UnitedAFC Leopards
HATHAT
Clean sheets3583710
Failed to score459347

Penalties

MetricMathare UnitedAFC Leopards
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMathare UnitedAFC Leopards
Wins14
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-10-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-12-0
Goals For3154
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricMathare UnitedAFC Leopards
Form29%71%
Att43%57%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h20%80%
Goals21%79%
Total28.5%71.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Leopards

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.03 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.54 (league 1.01), AFC Leopards = 1.59 (league 0.90)

AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 11.9% 18.9% 15.1% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0%
1 6.4% 10.2% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 62.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1