Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:30 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.03)
1.57 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 24.7% | 62.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mathare United | 0 | 12.3% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 86% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 25% | 30% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 42% | 22% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 64% | 33% | 48% | 10% | 17% | 14% |
Mathare UnitedLWDLWLLDWLWLDWLLWDLWDLL
AFC LeopardsDDDWWWLDDWDWWLWWWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mathare United | AFC Leopards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 65% | 68% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 30% | 45% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mathare United | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 21% | 79% |
| Total | 28.5% | 71.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.03 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…