Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.01)
1.24 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 25.1% | 30.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 44% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 30% | 55% | 43% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
| Draws | 30% | 27% | 29% | 42% | 17% | 29% |
| Loses | 40% | 18% | 29% | 50% | 58% | 54% |
Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLWDDW • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDLLLDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 71% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 24% | 8% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 5% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.53 (league 1.01), Ulinzi Stars = 1.24 (league 0.90)
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 30.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1