Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:00 •
Green Stadium
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.01)
1.23 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.1% | 27.5% | 37.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mara Sugar | 0 | 8.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 13% |
| Attack | 63% | 19% |
| Defense | 56% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 18% | 26% | 8% | 27% | 17% |
| Draws | 25% | 73% | 48% | 38% | 27% | 33% |
| Loses | 42% | 9% | 26% | 54% | 45% | 50% |
Form: Mara Sugar: DLWDDDWDLLWWDLDDLLDWDWD • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWDLLDLDLWLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 65% | 63% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 22% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mara Sugar | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82% | 18% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Mara Sugar or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mara Sugar = 1.19 (league 1.01), APS Bomet = 1.23 (league 0.91)
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mara Sugar | 0 | 8.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 37.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1