Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 12:00 •
SportPesa Arena
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.01)
0.66 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.1% | 35.9% | 25.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 58% | 75% |
| Defense | 42% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 45% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 18% | 38% | 29% | 0% | 42% | 21% |
| Loses | 36% | 23% | 29% | 58% | 33% | 46% |
Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDDWWWLWWWWLLWD • Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWLDWLLWDLWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 75% | 63% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 25% | 13% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 13% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Murang'a SEAL or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 0.87 (league 1.01), Mathare United = 0.66 (league 0.90)
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 25.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1