Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 13:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.04)
1.22 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.1% | 22.3% | 24.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Shabana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 46% |
| Draws | 8% | 33% | 21% | 17% | 42% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 42% | 8% | 25% |
GOR MahiaLWWWWDWWLLDWDWDWWWWWWWDW
ShabanaWWDLLLDWDWWDDWLDWDWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 21 | 42 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | Shabana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 54% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 8% | 21% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 4% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away5.15 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill
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League standings
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