Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 12:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished

KCB

1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.00) 1.48 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 26.1% 47.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCB 0 8.1% 11.9% 8.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.4% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCBMara Sugar
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack36%64%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCB Mara Sugar
HATHAT
Played121325131124
Wins25%46%36%31%18%25%
Draws33%23%28%31%73%50%
Loses42%31%36%38%9%25%

Form: KCB: WLWLLLDDWDWWWLDLWLWDLWDDL • Mara Sugar: DLWDDDWDLLWWDLDDLLDWDWDD

League goals

Metric KCB Mara Sugar
HATHAT
GF total101525101323
GF avg0.81.21.00.81.21.0
GA total13142791423
GA avg1.11.11.10.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCBMara Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%68%54%63%
1.516%32%33%21%
2.54%8%8%13%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCBMara Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets448639
Failed to score5168311

Penalties

MetricKCBMara Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKCBMara Sugar
Wins32
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-33-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricKCBMara Sugar
Form36%64%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h88%13%
Goals60%40%
Total50.2%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mara Sugar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCB = 1.04 (league 1.00), Mara Sugar = 1.48 (league 0.89)

Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCB 0 8.1% 11.9% 8.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.4% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 47.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1