Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 07:00 • Gusii Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.00) 1.48 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 26.0% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.7%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
APS Bomet 0 13.9% 20.7% 15.3% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8%
1 6.8% 10.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPS BometNairobi United
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack18%36%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APS Bomet Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played131225111223
Wins8%25%16%27%50%39%
Draws38%33%36%27%25%26%
Loses54%42%48%45%25%35%

Form: APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWDLLDLDLWLDLLDD • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLWDDWLL

League goals

Metric APS Bomet Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total91524151328
GF avg0.71.31.01.41.11.2
GA total16173316824
GA avg1.21.41.31.50.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPS BometNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%76%74%74%
1.524%36%26%26%
2.58%12%17%4%
3.54%8%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPS BometNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets246156
Failed to score6410336

Penalties

MetricAPS BometNairobi United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAPS BometNairobi United
Wins12
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-20-32-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricAPS BometNairobi United
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.0%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nairobi United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Dafabet
Draw2.92 @ Superbet
Away2.39 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APS Bomet = 0.49 (league 1.00), Nairobi United = 1.48 (league 0.89)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
APS Bomet 0 13.9% 20.7% 15.3% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8%
1 6.8% 10.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 61.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1