Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 07:00 •
Gusii Stadium
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.03)
1.44 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 26.6% | 60.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.2%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Nairobi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APS Bomet | 0 | 14.6% | 21.2% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 18% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 8% | 25% | 16% | 27% | 50% | 39% |
| Draws | 38% | 33% | 36% | 27% | 25% | 26% |
| Loses | 54% | 42% | 48% | 45% | 25% | 35% |
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Nairobi UnitedWLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLWDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 17 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | APS Bomet | Nairobi United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 76% | 74% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 36% | 26% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 12% | 17% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | APS Bomet | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.50 @ Dafabet
Draw2.92 @ Superbet
Away2.39 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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