Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Kinoru Stadium
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.00)
2.43 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 13.9% | 76.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.1%
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 3
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 5.5% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 83% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 54% | 44% | 69% | 67% | 68% |
| Draws | 25% | 8% | 16% | 8% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 42% | 38% | 40% | 23% | 0% | 12% |
Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWLWLLWDLLWWWL • GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLDWDWDWWWWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 44 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tusker | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 64% | 88% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 24% | 56% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 28% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-4 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tusker | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.0% |
Advice: Winner : GOR Mahia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.48 (league 1.00), GOR Mahia = 2.43 (league 0.89)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 5.5% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.5% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 76.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1