Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 11:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.00)
1.48 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3% | 26.2% | 49.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mathare United | 0 | 8.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mathare United | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mathare United | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 23% | 32% | 31% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 46% | 24% | 54% | 25% | 40% |
| Loses | 58% | 31% | 44% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
Form: Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWLDWLLWDLWDLLWD • Police: DWDWLWWWLWDLDDDDWLDDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mathare United | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mathare United | Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 68% | 60% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 28% | 24% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mathare United | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mathare United | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mathare United | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mathare United | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Police
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.96 (league 1.00), Police = 1.48 (league 0.89)
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mathare United | 0 | 8.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 49.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1