Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.00)
0.63 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7% | 19.9% | 10.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Kariobangi Sharks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 83% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 67% | 68% | 17% | 21% | 19% |
| Draws | 8% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Loses | 23% | 0% | 12% | 50% | 36% | 42% |
Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLDWDWDWWWWWWWDWW • Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLDLDDLLWDLDLDWDDWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 21 | 44 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 56% | 58% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 8% | 12% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 85% | 15% |
| Total | 71.4% | 28.6% |
Advice: Winner : GOR Mahia
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 1.97 (league 1.00), Kariobangi Sharks = 0.63 (league 0.89)
| Kariobangi Sharks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 10.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1