Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 13:00 •
SportPesa Arena
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.00)
1.35 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 27.9% | 47.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 10.8% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 42% | 36% | 38% | 69% | 46% | 58% |
| Draws | 25% | 36% | 31% | 23% | 31% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 29% | 31% | 8% | 23% | 15% |
Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDDWWWLWWWWLLWDDL • AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDDWDWWLWWWWDWLWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 20 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 77% | 73% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 23% | 38% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 12% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Leopards
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 0.88 (league 1.00), AFC Leopards = 1.35 (league 0.89)
| AFC Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 10.8% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 47.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1