Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 13:15 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.03)
2.15 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.7% | 20.7% | 49.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Shabana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 25% | 46% | 36% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
| Draws | 33% | 31% | 32% | 15% | 38% | 27% |
| Loses | 42% | 23% | 32% | 38% | 15% | 27% |
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ShabanaWWDLLLDWDWWDDWLDWDWWWWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 17 | 8 | 25 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairobi United | Shabana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 85% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 24% | 19% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 4% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.65 @ Dafabet
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.55 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.20 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
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League standings
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