Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:30 • Campo Municipal de Deportes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.16) 0.62 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 20.2% 11.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
El Porvenir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lujan 0 7.7% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 9.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLujanEl Porvenir
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack42%50%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lujan El Porvenir
HATHAT
Played131427131225
Wins62%43%52%38%25%32%
Draws31%43%37%38%25%32%
Loses8%14%11%23%50%36%

Form: Lujan: WWWWDDWDWLDLWDWWWDDWDWLWWDD • El Porvenir: WLWLWLLLLLLWDDLWDDDWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Lujan El Porvenir
HATHAT
GF total191433131326
GF avg1.51.01.21.01.11.0
GA total6814111829
GA avg0.50.60.50.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLujanEl Porvenir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%52%64%68%
1.533%0%36%32%
2.519%0%4%12%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLujanEl Porvenir
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613448
Failed to score358639

Penalties

MetricLujanEl Porvenir
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLujanEl Porvenir
Wins42
Draws23
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-34-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against1134

Model comparison

MetricLujanEl Porvenir
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lujan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away5.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.41 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.47 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lujan = 1.94 (league 1.16), El Porvenir = 0.62 (league 0.89)

El Porvenir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lujan 0 7.7% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 9.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1