Primera C — Argentina
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.15) 0.91 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 37.5% 45.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
23.7%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lujan
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Porvenir 0 26.1% 23.7% 10.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.4% 10.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl PorvenirLujan
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack78%56%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Porvenir Lujan
HATHAT
Played121224131326
Wins42%25%33%62%46%54%
Draws33%25%29%31%38%35%
Loses25%50%38%8%15%12%

Form: El Porvenir: WLWLWLLLLLLWDDLWDDDWDDWW • Lujan: WWWWDDWDWLDLWDWWWDDWDWLWWD

League goals

Metric El Porvenir Lujan
HATHAT
GF total121325191332
GF avg1.01.11.01.51.01.2
GA total1018286713
GA avg0.81.51.20.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl PorvenirLujan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%67%69%50%
1.538%33%35%0%
2.54%13%19%0%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl PorvenirLujan
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487613
Failed to score639358

Penalties

MetricEl PorvenirLujan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricEl PorvenirLujan
Wins14
Draws32
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-20-11-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3411

Model comparison

MetricEl PorvenirLujan
Form52%48%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals30%70%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lujan and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Unibet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.52 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.37 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ 1xBet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Porvenir = 0.44 (league 1.15), Lujan = 0.91 (league 0.88)

Lujan
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Porvenir 0 26.1% 23.7% 10.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.4% 10.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 45.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1