Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio República de Italia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.17) 0.81 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 34.0% 30.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
JJ Urquiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportivo Barracas 0 18.2% 14.8% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSportivo BarracasJJ Urquiza
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack58%33%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sportivo Barracas JJ Urquiza
HATHAT
Played131326121224
Wins38%38%38%50%42%46%
Draws38%31%35%17%33%25%
Loses23%31%27%33%25%29%

Form: Sportivo Barracas: WLLLDWWDDWDDWDDLLWWLWWWDDL • JJ Urquiza: WDWWWWDLLLLWWWLWWDDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Sportivo Barracas JJ Urquiza
HATHAT
GF total171532141024
GF avg1.31.21.21.20.81.0
GA total12122491019
GA avg0.90.90.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSportivo BarracasJJ Urquiza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%63%63%
1.538%23%33%13%
2.515%4%4%4%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSportivo BarracasJJ Urquiza
HATHAT
Clean sheets639459
Failed to score459459

Penalties

MetricSportivo BarracasJJ Urquiza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSportivo BarracasJJ Urquiza
Wins34
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-23-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSportivo BarracasJJ Urquiza
Form62%38%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sportivo Barracas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sportivo Barracas = 0.89 (league 1.17), JJ Urquiza = 0.81 (league 0.89)

JJ Urquiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportivo Barracas 0 18.2% 14.8% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1