Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:00 •
Larrakia Park
Expected Goals
3.42 (league 1.76)
0.70 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.8%
2 - 0
9.5%
4 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Uni Azzurri | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Darwin Hearts | 0 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 75% | 31% |
| Defense | 56% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 73% | 36% | 55% | 73% | 36% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
| Loses | 27% | 55% | 41% | 27% | 45% | 36% |
Form: Darwin Hearts: WDLWWLLLLWLWWLWWWWWWLL • Uni Azzurri: LWLWLWLLDWWWLLWWWDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 14 | 47 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 55% | 73% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 32% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 14% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 5% | 5% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Darwin Hearts | Uni Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.3% |
Advice: Winner : Darwin Hearts
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Darwin Hearts = 3.42 (league 1.76), Uni Azzurri = 0.70 (league 1.56)
| Uni Azzurri | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Darwin Hearts | 0 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.0% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 4.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1