Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:00 • Bukhungu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.01) 0.05 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 75.1% 3.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
74.2%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
3.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Homeboyz 0 74.2% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHomeboyzNairobi United
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack13%13%
Defense100%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

18%
FT probability

2.5+

13%
FT probability

3.5+

9%
FT probability

BTTS

32%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Homeboyz Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played022022
Wins—50%50%—50%50%
Draws—50%50%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—50%50%

Form: Homeboyz: DW • Nairobi United: WL

League goals

Metric Homeboyz Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total011011
GF avg0.00.50.50.00.50.5
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHomeboyzNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%0%50%50%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHomeboyzNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricHomeboyzNairobi United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHomeboyzNairobi United
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—0-1
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For0101
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricHomeboyzNairobi United
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nairobi United and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away4.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Homeboyz = 0.25 (league 1.01), Nairobi United = 0.05 (league 0.84)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Homeboyz 0 74.2% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 75.1% · Away win 3.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1