Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 19:15 • N1-völlurinn Hlíðarenda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.90) 1.27 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 19.5% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Breidablik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valur Reykjavik 0 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.5% 8.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValur ReykjavikBreidablik
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack60%53%
Defense20%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valur Reykjavik Breidablik
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins73%36%55%45%36%41%
Draws18%18%18%36%27%32%
Loses9%45%27%18%36%27%

Form: Valur Reykjavik: DDWDLWLWWWLWWWWWDWLWLL • Breidablik: WLWWDWWLLWWDWDWDDLLDLD

League goals

Metric Valur Reykjavik Breidablik
HATHAT
GF total322153211637
GF avg2.91.92.41.91.51.7
GA total132235181735
GA avg1.22.01.61.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValur ReykjavikBreidablik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%86%91%77%
1.568%45%50%41%
2.536%23%18%23%
3.518%5%9%14%
4.514%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValur ReykjavikBreidablik
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricValur ReykjavikBreidablik
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricValur ReykjavikBreidablik
Wins52
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-53-11-4
Biggest losses1-24-11-43-0
Goals For6544
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricValur ReykjavikBreidablik
Form75%25%
Att53%47%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Valur Reykjavik or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 188Bet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ 188Bet
No3.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valur Reykjavik = 2.29 (league 1.90), Breidablik = 1.27 (league 1.42)

Breidablik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valur Reykjavik 0 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.5% 8.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1