Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 19:15 • Samsung völlurinn
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.90) 1.98 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 21.7% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Vikingur Reykjavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stjarnan 0 4.1% 8.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.0% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack47%84%
Defense74%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stjarnan Vikingur Reykjavik
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins67%36%52%75%36%57%
Draws17%27%22%8%45%26%
Loses17%36%26%17%18%17%

Form: Stjarnan: WWLLLWDLWDWWLDLWDWWWWWD • Vikingur Reykjavik: WWLDWWDWWLWWWDLDDLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Stjarnan Vikingur Reykjavik
HATHAT
GF total271643301949
GF avg2.31.51.92.51.72.1
GA total191635171128
GA avg1.61.51.51.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%91%70%
1.561%43%70%39%
2.526%17%26%9%
3.513%4%13%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
HATHAT
Clean sheets213257
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricStjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricStjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
Wins53
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-00-7
Biggest losses1-43-02-43-1
Goals For4447
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricStjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vikingur Reykjavik

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Betfair
No2.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stjarnan = 1.21 (league 1.90), Vikingur Reykjavik = 1.98 (league 1.37)

Vikingur Reykjavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stjarnan 0 4.1% 8.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.0% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1