Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 20:00 • N1-völlurinn Hlíðarenda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.90) 1.31 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 20.2% 21.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Stjarnan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valur Reykjavik 0 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.6% 8.6% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.9% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValur ReykjavikStjarnan
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack37%47%
Defense47%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valur Reykjavik Stjarnan
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins67%33%50%62%36%50%
Draws25%17%21%15%27%21%
Loses8%50%29%23%36%29%

Form: Valur Reykjavik: DDWDLWLWWWLWWWWWDWLWLLDL • Stjarnan: WWLLLWDLWDWWLDLWDWWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Valur Reykjavik Stjarnan
HATHAT
GF total332154291645
GF avg2.81.82.32.21.51.9
GA total142438221638
GA avg1.22.01.61.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValur ReykjavikStjarnan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%88%88%88%
1.563%46%63%46%
2.533%21%25%21%
3.517%4%13%4%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValur ReykjavikStjarnan
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricValur ReykjavikStjarnan
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricValur ReykjavikStjarnan
Wins55
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-54-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-43-0
Goals For6544
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricValur ReykjavikStjarnan
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Valur Reykjavik or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ 188Bet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ Bet365
No3.36 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valur Reykjavik = 2.21 (league 1.90), Stjarnan = 1.31 (league 1.37)

Stjarnan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valur Reykjavik 0 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.6% 8.6% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.9% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1