Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Yerevan Football Academy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.78) 0.41 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.7% 10.7% 3.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gandzasar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ararat-Armenia 0 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.7% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.0% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArarat-ArmeniaGandzasar
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack68%11%
Defense53%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ararat-Armenia Gandzasar
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins67%50%57%25%0%13%
Draws33%50%43%50%25%38%
Loses0%0%0%25%75%50%

Form: Ararat-Armenia: DWWWDWD • Gandzasar: DLLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Ararat-Armenia Gandzasar
HATHAT
GF total8614314
GF avg2.71.52.00.80.30.5
GA total5493710
GA avg1.71.01.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArarat-ArmeniaGandzasar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%50%75%
1.571%57%0%25%
2.529%0%0%13%
3.514%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArarat-ArmeniaGandzasar
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricArarat-ArmeniaGandzasar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricArarat-ArmeniaGandzasar
Wins31
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-31-0
Biggest losses0-14-1
Goals For4311
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricArarat-ArmeniaGandzasar
Form69%31%
Att87%13%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total73.6%26.4%

Advice: Winner : Ararat-Armenia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw6.05 @ Pinnacle
Away10.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ararat-Armenia = 2.74 (league 1.78), Gandzasar = 0.41 (league 1.23)

Gandzasar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ararat-Armenia 0 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.7% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.0% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1