Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.80)
0.98 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 35.3% | 46.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.6%
0 - 1
22.2%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Noah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat | 0 | 22.6% | 22.2% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 60% |
| Attack | 36% | 55% |
| Defense | 0% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 0% | 56% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 67% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 86% | 80% | 0% | 33% | 11% |
Form: Ararat: DLLLLLLLDL • FC Noah: WWLWDWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 24 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ararat | FC Noah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 100% | 67% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 80% | 67% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ararat | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10% | 90% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 22.2% | 77.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Noah
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ararat = 0.51 (league 1.80), FC Noah = 0.98 (league 1.21)
| FC Noah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat | 0 | 22.6% | 22.2% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 46.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1