Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 17:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.30) 0.58 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 38.8% 24.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.9%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Paraty
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serra Macaense 0 25.9% 15.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSerra MacaenseParaty
Played23
Form33%33%
Attack25%25%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Serra Macaense Paraty
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws100%100%100%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Serra Macaense: DD • Paraty: WLL

League goals

Metric Serra Macaense Paraty
HATHAT
GF total112202
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.00.7
GA total112112
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSerra MacaenseParaty
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%33%67%
1.50%0%33%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSerra MacaenseParaty
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricSerra MacaenseParaty
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSerra MacaenseParaty
Wins01
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricSerra MacaenseParaty
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Serra Macaense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 10Bet
No1.68 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Serra Macaense = 0.77 (league 1.30), Paraty = 0.58 (league 1.20)

Paraty
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serra Macaense 0 25.9% 15.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1