Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.48) 1.78 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.3% 22.2% 64.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 2
14.4%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Macaé
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serra Macaense 0 9.1% 16.2% 14.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.0% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSerra MacaenseMacaé
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack67%78%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Serra Macaense Macaé
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%33%33%
Draws67%67%67%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%33%33%33%

Form: Serra Macaense: DDDDWW • Macaé: DWLLWD

League goals

Metric Serra Macaense Macaé
HATHAT
GF total437167
GF avg1.31.01.20.32.01.2
GA total314123
GA avg1.00.30.70.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSerra MacaenseMacaé
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%33%50%
1.533%17%17%0%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSerra MacaenseMacaé
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricSerra MacaenseMacaé
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSerra MacaenseMacaé
Wins01
Draws41
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-6
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For2216
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricSerra MacaenseMacaé
Form56%44%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Macaé

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw2.96 @ Pinnacle
Away2.77 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Serra Macaense = 0.62 (league 1.48), Macaé = 1.78 (league 1.13)

Macaé
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serra Macaense 0 9.1% 16.2% 14.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.0% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 64.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1