Sevastopol vs Pobeda

Second League - Group 1 — Russia

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA

Match Finished

Sevastopol

2 - 1

Pobeda

Expected Goals

1.10 (league 1.37) 1.02 (league 1.07)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
36.9%	29.8%	33.2%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.5%

1 - 0

13.1%

0 - 1

12.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Pobeda
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sevastopol	0	12.0%	12.3%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.1%	13.5%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	7.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	2.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sevastopol	Pobeda
Played	5	5
Form	53%	47%
Attack	44%	31%
Defense	75%	63%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%

FT probability

2.5+

48%

FT probability

3.5+

34%

FT probability

BTTS

67%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sevastopol			Pobeda
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	13	13	26
Wins	54%	46%	50%	62%	54%	58%
Draws	31%	38%	35%	8%	15%	12%
Loses	15%	15%	15%	31%	31%	31%

Form: Sevastopol: WWWDLDDDWLDLWWWDWWWWDWDLWD • Pobeda: LDWLWWWWLWWLLWWDWWWWLWLLWD

League goals

Metric	Sevastopol			Pobeda
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	19	22	41	18	14	32
GF avg	1.5	1.7	1.6	1.4	1.1	1.2
GA total	13	17	30	12	13	25
GA avg	1.0	1.3	1.2	0.9	1.0	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sevastopol		Pobeda
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	81%	73%	73%	65%
1.5	50%	27%	35%	27%
2.5	19%	12%	15%	4%
3.5	8%	4%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sevastopol			Pobeda
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	2	7	5	4	9
Failed to score	2	3	5	2	5	7

Penalties

Metric	Sevastopol	Pobeda
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	5 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	5

Streaks

Metric	Sevastopol	Pobeda
Wins	4	4
Draws	3	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	1-4	3-1	1-3
Biggest losses	1-4	3-0	1-2	3-0
Goals For	3	4	3	3
Goals Against	4	3	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Sevastopol	Pobeda
Form	53%	47%
Att	58%	42%
Def	60%	40%
Poisson Distribution	52%	48%
H2h	75%	25%
Goals	80%	20%
Total	63.0%	37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sevastopol or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet

Draw2.91 @ Marathonbet

Away3.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.84 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet

No2.07 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:04:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.11
Draw	2.91
Away	3.42

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.39
Draw	2.42
Away	3.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.42
Away -1.25	1.24
Home -1	3.10
Away -1	1.30
Home -0.75	2.46
Away -0.75	1.47
Home -0.25	1.82
Away -0.25	1.88
Home +0	1.50
Away +0	2.41
Home +0.25	1.35
Away +0.25	2.94
Home +0.75	1.17
Away +0.75	4.35
Home -2	6.95
Away -2	1.04
Home +1	1.07
Away +1	6.45
Home -1.5	3.82
Away -1.5	1.19
Home +1.5	1.03
Away +1.5	7.20
Home -2.5	7.80
Away -2.5	1.02

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.24
Under 1.5	3.34
Over 1.75	1.30
Under 1.75	2.97
Over 2.0	1.39
Under 2.0	2.59
Over 2.25	1.61
Under 2.25	2.07
Over 2.5	1.85
Under 2.5	1.84
Over 2.75	2.03
Under 2.75	1.63
Over 3.5	2.92
Under 3.5	1.31
Over 1.0	1.04
Under 1.0	6.80
Over 3.0	2.38
Under 3.0	1.46
Over 3.25	2.66
Under 3.25	1.37
Over 3.75	3.50
Under 3.75	1.22
Over 4.0	4.80
Under 4.0	1.12

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.72
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 0.5	1.44
Under 0.5	2.52
Over 1.0	1.92
Under 1.0	1.79

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.99
Under 1.5	1.73
Over 2.0	3.10
Under 2.0	1.30
Over 1.0	1.38
Under 1.0	2.72

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.66
No	2.04

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.82
Away -1	1.58
Draw -1	4.05
Home +1	1.23
Draw +1	5.30
Away +1	7.20

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.23
Home/Away	1.31
Draw/Away	1.58

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.82
Draw	1.90
Away	4.25

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.77
Draw	7.80
Away	2.36

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.78
Draw	7.80
Away	2.35

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.03
Under 1.5	1.67
Over 1	1.38
Under 1	2.67
Over 2	3.20
Under 2	1.27

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 1	1.83
Under 1	1.83
Over 2	5.65
Under 2	1.08

1xBet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:04:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.13
Draw	2.91
Away	3.50

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.41
Draw	2.42
Away	3.61

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.42
Away -1.25	1.24
Home -1	3.10
Away -1	1.30
Home -0.75	2.46
Away -0.75	1.47
Home -0.25	1.82
Away -0.25	1.88
Home +0	1.50
Away +0	2.41
Home +0.25	1.35
Away +0.25	2.94
Home +0.75	1.17
Away +0.75	4.35
Home -2	6.95
Away -2	1.04
Home +1	1.07
Away +1	6.45
Home -1.5	3.82
Away -1.5	1.19
Home +1.5	1.03
Away +1.5	7.20
Home -2.5	7.80
Away -2.5	1.02

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.24
Under 1.5	3.34
Over 1.75	1.30
Under 1.75	2.97
Over 2.0	1.39
Under 2.0	2.59
Over 2.25	1.61
Under 2.25	2.07
Over 2.5	1.85
Under 2.5	1.84
Over 2.75	2.03
Under 2.75	1.63
Over 3.5	2.92
Under 3.5	1.31
Over 0.5	1.04
Under 0.5	6.97
Over 1.0	1.04
Under 1.0	6.80
Over 3.0	2.38
Under 3.0	1.46
Over 4.5	5.70
Under 4.5	1.10
Over 3.25	2.66
Under 3.25	1.37
Over 3.75	3.50
Under 3.75	1.22
Over 4.0	4.80
Under 4.0	1.12

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.72
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 2.0	5.50
Under 2.0	1.11
Over 2.5	6.70
Under 2.5	1.07
Over 0.5	1.44
Under 0.5	2.52
Over 0.75	1.60
Under 0.75	2.17
Over 1.0	1.92
Under 1.0	1.79
Over 1.25	2.31
Under 1.25	1.53

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.99
Under 1.5	1.73
Over 1.75	2.36
Under 1.75	1.51
Over 2.0	3.10
Under 2.0	1.30
Over 2.5	4.30
Under 2.5	1.18
Over 0.5	1.21
Under 0.5	3.90
Over 1.0	1.38
Under 1.0	2.72
Over 1.25	1.69
Under 1.25	2.02

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	12.00
Home/Away	25.00
Draw/Away	10.00
Draw/Draw	4.60
Home/Home	3.90
Draw/Home	5.00
Away/Home	20.00
Away/Draw	13.00
Away/Away	5.60

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.66
No	2.07

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.50
2:0	11.00
2:1	10.00
3:0	20.00
3:1	17.00
3:2	28.00
4:0	40.00
4:1	35.00
0:0	7.10
1:1	6.00
2:2	12.00
0:1	12.00
0:2	20.00
0:3	40.00
1:2	13.00
1:3	29.00
2:3	35.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	70.00
2:4	80.00
4:2	55.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	90.00
5:1	80.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.60
1st Half	3.18
2nd Half	1.92

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.40
2:0	12.00
2:1	22.00
3:0	40.00
3:1	60.00
3:2	60.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	2.52
1:1	7.00
2:2	55.00
0:1	5.50
0:2	18.00
0:3	60.00
1:2	25.00
1:3	60.00
2:3	60.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 62 — Correct Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.20
2:0	9.50
2:1	14.00
3:0	28.00
3:1	35.00
3:2	60.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	3.90
1:1	6.50
2:2	35.00
0:1	7.00
0:2	17.00
0:3	60.00
1:2	19.00
1:3	60.00
2:3	60.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.23
Home/Away	1.31
Draw/Away	1.58

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.84
Draw	1.90
Away	4.43

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.62
Over 2.5	4.70
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 1	1.40
Under 1	2.80
Over 2	3.65
Under 2	1.25
Over 0.5	1.20
Under 0.5	4.00

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.55
Under 1.5	1.45
Over 2.5	5.90
Under 2.5	1.10
Over 1	1.80
Under 1	1.90
Over 2	4.90
Under 2	1.14
Over 0.5	1.38
Under 0.5	2.80

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Sevastopol vs Pobeda

Expected goals (λ): Sevastopol = 1.10 (league 1.37), Pobeda = 1.02 (league 1.07)

		Pobeda
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sevastopol	0	12.0%	12.3%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.1%	13.5%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	7.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	2.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 33.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Sevastopol	Pobeda
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	5 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	5